Non League Premier Sur Central. Jor. 3

Barwell vs Ilkeston Town FC analysis

Barwell Ilkeston Town FC
29 ELO 36
4.9% Tilt 7.3%
5309º General ELO ranking 5270º
248º Country ELO ranking 245º
ELO win probability
32.4%
Barwell
23.4%
Draw
44.2%
Ilkeston Town FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
Barwell
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.2%
Win probability
Ilkeston Town FC
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barwell
+3%
+10%
Ilkeston Town FC

Points and table prediction

Barwell
Their league position
Ilkeston Town FC
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
22º
10º
62
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Coalville Town
89
89
100%
Tamworth
87
87
100%
Leiston
83
83
100%
Nuneaton Town
76
79
100%
Rushall Olympic
74
74
100%
Mickleover Sports FC
70
70
100%
Ilkeston Town FC
62
62
0%
Redditch United
62
62
0%
Stourbridge
59
59
0%
Barwell
10º
59
59
10º
0%
Alvechurch FC
11º
57
57
11º
0%
Hitchin Town
12º
57
57
12º
0%
Basford United
13º
53
53
13º
0%
Royston Town
14º
53
53
14º
20%
St Ives Town
15º
50
50
15º
80%
Stratford Town
16º
50
50
16º
100%
Needham Market
17º
49
49
17º
100%
Bromsgrove Sporting
18º
49
49
18º
100%
Kings Langley
19º
40
40
19º
100%
Hednesford Town
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Bedford Town
21º
31
31
21º
100%
Rushden & Diamonds
22º
29
29
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Barwell
Ilkeston Town FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Barwell
Ilkeston Town FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barwell
Barwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
BED
Bedford Town
3 - 2
Barwell
BAR
66%
18%
16%
30 38 8 0
06 Aug. 2022
BAR
Barwell
1 - 2
Hitchin Town
HIT
49%
23%
29%
31 32 1 -1
30 Jul. 2022
SHE
Shepshed
1 - 2
Barwell
BAR
33%
25%
42%
30 26 4 +1
26 Jul. 2022
BAR
Barwell
3 - 1
Bedworth United
BED
66%
20%
14%
30 21 9 0
02 Jul. 2022
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
0 - 4
Barwell
BAR
26%
24%
50%
29 23 6 +1

Matches

Ilkeston Town FC
Ilkeston Town FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
ILK
Ilkeston Town FC
2 - 2
Leiston
LEI
57%
20%
23%
36 32 4 0
06 Aug. 2022
TAM
Tamworth
1 - 1
Ilkeston Town FC
ILK
47%
23%
30%
37 36 1 -1
20 Jul. 2022
ILK
Ilkeston Town FC
0 - 0
Shepshed
SHE
65%
19%
16%
37 26 11 0
23 Apr. 2022
WIS
Wisbech Town
1 - 2
Ilkeston Town FC
ILK
7%
16%
77%
36 11 25 +1
18 Apr. 2022
ILK
Ilkeston Town FC
2 - 4
Shepshed
SHE
74%
15%
11%
37 24 13 -1
X