Barwell vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
NUN
0 - 2
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 6
BAN
13%
23%
64%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
STR
2 - 0
BAR
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 3
BRO
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
STO
1 - 1
BAR
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HED
2 - 3
TAM
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
0 - 2
HED
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HED
1 - 4
ALV
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
COA
0 - 0
HED
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
HED
3 - 1
STO
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |