Barton Rovers vs Kempston Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
17º
20º
20º
34
1º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AFD
4 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
DID
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
FCR
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HAD
3 - 0
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BIG
5 - 1
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kempston Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 1
KEM
65%
19%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KEM
0 - 2
WAL
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
KEM
78%
15%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 0
THA
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AFD
0 - 0
KEM
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |