Barry Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
TRE
80%
13%
8%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
GOY
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
CAR
79%
13%
7%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAE
43%
22%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 1
NEW
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
6 - 1
BFC
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |