Barry Town vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
10º
1º
38
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 2
BAR
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
TRE
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 3
BAR
9%
18%
74%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CWM
6 - 0
PON
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CWM
1 - 4
LID
32%
21%
46%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CWM
4 - 3
CAR
18%
21%
62%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 2
CWM
50%
20%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 5
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |