Barrow vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
HAY
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
GRI
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
5 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 1
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WRE
4 - 2
TAM
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 1
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
YOR
1 - 2
TAM
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
0 - 3
CRA
16%
26%
58%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |