Barrow vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 3
COL
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
OLD
0 - 3
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
STA
2 - 2
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRO
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 1
WAL
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
NOR
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
LEY
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
PLY
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |