Barrow vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
5 - 0
GLO
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
BAR
26%
24%
51%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
LOW
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
RUN
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRI
3 - 0
GUI
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
4 - 4
GUI
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 0
HAL
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
STA
1 - 3
GUI
19%
21%
59%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 2
TAM
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |