Barretos vs USAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
41%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 4
MAT
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
COM
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
VOT
1 - 0
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
USA
4 - 0
VOT
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 2
USA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |