Barranquilla vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
BAR
65%
23%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
RSC
29%
28%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
AFC
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
JAG
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BJC
56%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |