Primera B Apertura round 11

Barranquilla vs Bogotá analysis

Barranquilla Bogotá
67 ELO 61
-2.9% Tilt -2%
1898º General ELO ranking 2576º
33º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
49.3%
Barranquilla
24.9%
Draw
25.9%
Bogotá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
Barranquilla
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.9%
Win probability
Bogotá
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barranquilla
-18%
-17%
Bogotá

Points and table prediction

Barranquilla
Their league position
Bogotá
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
15º
14º
13
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cúcuta Deportivo
34
34
0%
Jaguares FC
34
34
0%
Patriotas Boyacá
33
33
100%
Internacional de Palmira
32
32
100%
Real Cundinamarca
29
29
100%
Atlético Huila
29
29
100%
Real Cartagena
28
28
100%
Tigres FC
24
24
100%
Leones
18
18
0%
Real Santander
10º
18
18
10º
0%
Orsomarso SC
11º
16
16
11º
100%
Deportes Quindío
12º
14
14
12º
100%
Bogotá
13º
13
13
13º
100%
Barranquilla
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Atlético Fútbol Club
15º
9
9
15º
100%
Boca Juniors de Cali
16º
8
8
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Barranquilla
Bogotá
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Barranquilla
Bogotá
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barranquilla
Barranquilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
4 - 1
Barranquilla
BAR
71%
19%
10%
67 80 13 0
29 Mar. 2025
BAR
Barranquilla
2 - 2
Real Cartagena
CAR
25%
28%
48%
66 79 13 +1
25 Mar. 2025
COR
Internacional de Palmira
3 - 0
Barranquilla
BAR
51%
27%
22%
67 74 7 -1
18 Mar. 2025
BAR
Barranquilla
0 - 1
Jaguares FC
JAG
30%
28%
42%
68 78 10 -1
09 Mar. 2025
ORS
Orsomarso SC
3 - 0
Barranquilla
BAR
49%
27%
25%
69 73 4 -1

Matches

Bogotá
Bogotá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2025
BOG
Bogotá
2 - 2
Jaguares FC
JAG
23%
26%
51%
61 78 17 0
30 Mar. 2025
TFC
Tigres FC
2 - 1
Bogotá
BOG
40%
28%
33%
62 65 3 -1
24 Mar. 2025
BOG
Bogotá
0 - 2
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
23%
27%
50%
62 79 17 0
16 Mar. 2025
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
2 - 0
Bogotá
BOG
73%
18%
9%
63 80 17 -1
10 Mar. 2025
BOG
Bogotá
2 - 3
Atlético Huila
HUI
28%
28%
44%
64 77 13 -1