Barracas Central vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
CAG
3 - 0
BAR
37%
30%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 2
INS
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 0
SUA
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
SUA
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 0
FER
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
SUA
53%
26%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |