Barracas Central vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
RIE
0 - 1
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
33%
30%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 1
DEF
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
DEF
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UAI
0 - 0
DEF
50%
27%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |