Barracas Central vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 1
BAR
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
BAR
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
AND
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 0
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
CHA
21%
29%
51%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 0
DEF
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 0
EST
20%
29%
52%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
AND
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |