Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CAA
1 - 1
SBA
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SBA
0 - 1
CLA
39%
25%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
SBA
0 - 1
PUE
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
YUP
2 - 2
SBA
46%
26%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
SBA
1 - 1
LUG
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAM
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
DPA
1 - 0
LUG
49%
25%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARR
56%
25%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
MUÑ
56%
24%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
SBA
1 - 1
LUG
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |