Barquereño vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barquereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SDT
0 - 4
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
SIE
22%
25%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
RIN
1 - 0
BAR
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAY
2 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
RIB
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRO
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CUL
2 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |