Baronie vs UDI '19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GVV
3 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 7
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 2
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
RKA
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALP
0 - 2
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 1
GVV
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
UDI
3 - 4
ALP
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
UDI
1 - 1
HAL
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 1
VLI
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MEE
1 - 3
UDI
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |