Baronie vs TOGB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
EHC
0 - 6
BAR
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
8 - 0
AWC
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
0 - 4
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
IFC
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VOC
0 - 2
BAR
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 2
TOG
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TOG
0 - 1
ORI
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
OJC
2 - 2
TOG
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
0 - 4
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -3 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
3 - 3
MEE
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |