Baronie vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EVV
2 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
FCO
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACH
4 - 3
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 4
ARG
25%
26%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VVS
4 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 1
JVC
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 0
LIE
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LIE
4 - 2
HOL
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VVS
2 - 3
LIE
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EVV
3 - 2
LIE
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |