Baronie vs Leonidas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
EHC
0 - 6
BAR
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
8 - 0
AWC
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TOG
0 - 4
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
IFC
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VOC
0 - 2
BAR
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Leonidas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
HBS
1 - 1
LEO
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 2
QUI
38%
21%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 2
LEO
21%
20%
59%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SDO
4 - 0
LEO
45%
22%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RKA
3 - 1
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |