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South African First Division. Matchday 29

Baroka Orlando Pirates
50 ELO 65
-42% Tilt -29%
997º General ELO ranking 332º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.4%
Baroka
34.7%
Draw
38.9%
Orlando Pirates

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
Baroka
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.8%
34.7%
Draw
0-0
19.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
34.7%
38.9%
Win probability
Orlando Pirates
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baroka
-23%
-28%
Orlando Pirates

Basic stats

74
26
POS
7
10
SOT
1
0
COR
1
2
GF
2
1
GC
14
11
FRK
50
65
ELO
0.7
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Baroka
Their league position
Orlando Pirates
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
12º
10º
50
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mamelodi Sundowns
67
67
100%
AmaZulu
54
54
100%
Orlando Pirates
50
50
100%
Golden Arrows
47
47
100%
SuperSport United
45
45
100%
Moroka Swallows
44
44
100%
Cape Town City FC
41
41
100%
Kaizer Chiefs
36
36
50%
TS Galaxy
36
36
50%
Baroka
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Bloemfontein Celtic
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Tshakhuma Madzivhadila
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Maritzburg United
13º
30
30
13º
100%
Stellenbosch FC
14º
29
29
14º
100%
Chippa United
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Black Leopards
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Baroka
Orlando Pirates
Champion
0% 0%
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Orlando Pirates
PIR
Baroka
BAR
Tshakhuma Madzivhadila
MIL
Moroka Swallows
SWA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baroka
Baroka
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2021
BAR
Baroka
0 - 0
Tshakhuma Madzivhadila
MIL
57%
23%
20%
952 501 451 -2
11 May. 2021
AMA
AmaZulu
0 - 1
Baroka
BAR
46%
27%
27%
946 872 -74 +5
01 May. 2021
SSU
SuperSport United
1 - 1
Baroka
BAR
56%
24%
20%
944 1425 481 +2
28 Apr. 2021
BAR
Baroka
0 - 1
TS Galaxy
TSG
56%
25%
20%
951 650 301 -7
23 Apr. 2021
MAR
Maritzburg United
1 - 1
Baroka
BAR
51%
25%
23%
950 1065 115 +1

Matches

Orlando Pirates
Orlando Pirates
1%
X%
2%
ELO PIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2021
RCA
Raja Casablanca
4 - 0
Orlando Pirates
PIR
31%
27%
42%
1651 1012 -639 -9
16 May. 2021
PIR
Orlando Pirates
1 - 1
Raja Casablanca
RCA
62%
22%
17%
1652 1005 647 -1
11 May. 2021
SFC
Stellenbosch FC
0 - 0
Orlando Pirates
PIR
28%
26%
47%
1654 775 -879 -3
06 May. 2021
PIR
Orlando Pirates
3 - 0
Black Leopards
BLA
72%
17%
11%
1651 746 905 +4
02 May. 2021
PIR
Orlando Pirates
0 - 3
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
47%
27%
26%
1661 1665 -4 -10