EFL Trophy . Final

Barnsley vs Oxford United analysis

Barnsley Oxford United
65 ELO 62
5.3% Tilt 0.7%
709º General ELO ranking 1188º
39º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
47.6%
Barnsley
24.6%
Draw
27.8%
Oxford United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
Barnsley
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.8%
Win probability
Oxford United
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Barnsley
Oxford United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barnsley
Barnsley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2016
POR
Port Vale
0 - 1
Barnsley
BAR
36%
26%
37%
63 57 6 0
25 Mar. 2016
BAR
Barnsley
0 - 0
Scunthorpe United
SCU
49%
25%
26%
63 61 2 0
19 Mar. 2016
FLE
Fleetwood Town
0 - 2
Barnsley
BAR
33%
27%
40%
62 56 6 +1
12 Mar. 2016
BAR
Barnsley
0 - 2
Southend United
SOU
56%
24%
21%
63 58 5 -1
05 Mar. 2016
WAL
Walsall
1 - 3
Barnsley
BAR
40%
27%
33%
62 62 0 +1

Matches

Oxford United
Oxford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2016
CAM
Cambridge United
0 - 0
Oxford United
OXF
27%
26%
47%
63 52 11 0
25 Mar. 2016
OXF
Oxford United
1 - 1
Stevenage
STE
71%
20%
10%
63 46 17 0
19 Mar. 2016
BAR
Barnet
0 - 3
Oxford United
OXF
30%
27%
43%
62 54 8 +1
15 Mar. 2016
OXF
Oxford United
4 - 0
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
71%
19%
10%
62 45 17 0
12 Mar. 2016
OXF
Oxford United
0 - 1
Leyton Orient
LEY
56%
24%
19%
63 54 9 -1
X