Barnet vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
STA
22%
26%
52%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
YEO
2 - 0
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOT
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 0
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
NOT
2 - 1
CUM
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 1
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
WYC
4 - 3
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |