Barnechea vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
5 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
PAL
22%
22%
55%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
LIM
1 - 4
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
USF
2 - 4
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
IQU
5 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 2
UCO
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
USF
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |