Barnechea vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 4
USF
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
FVC
1 - 1
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAG
1 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
PUE
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
DCO
1 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
USF
0 - 0
SAN
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
COQ
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |