Barking vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barking
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
WAR
4 - 2
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MAL
7 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
AVE
25%
24%
52%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 0
HUL
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
AVE
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 2
CHM
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 2
HEY
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AVE
4 - 0
SOH
77%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |