SSC Bari U19 vs Virtus Entella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
12º
11º
47
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MNP
1 - 0
BAR
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
CCS
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 3
BAR
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
5 - 4
PIS
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 2
BAR
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASC
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PER
3 - 3
VIR
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 0
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIR
25%
23%
53%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
4 - 2
SPE
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |