Bardena vs Alera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UNC
0 - 5
BAR
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 1
BAR
83%
11%
7%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAN
51%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PUY
2 - 1
BAR
58%
19%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEP
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ALE
1 - 9
BOR
17%
18%
66%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
ALE
44%
21%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 4
PUY
33%
20%
47%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALE
3 - 8
DEP
10%
15%
74%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TAR
5 - 0
ALE
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |