Bardejov vs Sobota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
8º
44
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardejov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
BAR
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
LIP
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
6 - 0
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 1
SVI
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GIR
1 - 2
BAR
8%
15%
77%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sobota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SOB
0 - 1
SPI
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NAM
0 - 2
SOB
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SOB
3 - 0
SNI
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
3 - 4
SOB
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SOB
5 - 1
POP
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |