Barcelona vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
GET
0 - 0
FCB
9%
18%
72%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BET
1 - 2
FCB
25%
23%
52%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FCB
2 - 1
MLL
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 1
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
RSO
52%
24%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 5
VIL
19%
23%
59%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
SEV
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 3
LIV
12%
19%
70%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIL
12%
20%
68%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |