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La Liga. Matchday 9

Barcelona vs Valencia analysis

Barcelona Valencia
95 ELO 83
-4% Tilt -8%
General ELO ranking 55º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
72.2%
Barcelona
17.5%
Draw
10.3%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
Barcelona
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.3%
Win probability
Valencia
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Barcelona
Their league position
Valencia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid
13
98
99%
Atlético
11
68
14%
Valencia
10
76
18%
R. Sociedad
10
61
6%
Athletic
9
51
11º
6%
Sevilla
8
62
5%
Barcelona
8
80
2%
Osasuna
8
54
5%
Mallorca
8
37
16º
6%
Rayo Vallecano
10º
7
61
5%
Real Betis
11º
6
54
5%
Elche
12º
6
33
18º
6%
Cádiz
13º
5
50
12º
5%
Villarreal
14º
4
38
15º
6%
Levante
15º
4
52
10º
5%
Espanyol
16º
3
36
17º
5%
Granada
17º
3
38
14º
6%
Celta
18º
1
42
13º
5%
Getafe
19º
0
20
19º
9%
Alavés
20º
0
19
20º
8%
Expected probabilities
Barcelona
Valencia
Champion
36% 18%
Champions League
45% 49%
Europa League
3% 4%
Europa Conference League
2% 4%
Mid-table
13% 23%
Relegation
1% 3%

ELO progression

Barcelona
FCB
Valencia
VCF
Dinamo Kiev
DYN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 1
Granada
GRA
82%
12%
6%
3586 2169 1417 0
14 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
53%
26%
22%
3641 3564 77 -52
08 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
AE Prat
PRA
74%
15%
11%
3638 328 3310 0
29 Aug. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
Getafe
GET
82%
12%
6%
3711 2351 1360 +2
21 Aug. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
23%
24%
54%
3719 2578 -1141 -7

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO VCF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2021
VCF
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
35%
27%
38%
2688 3477 -789 -8
12 Sep. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
1 - 4
Valencia
VCF
37%
28%
35%
2671 2209 -462 +17
27 Aug. 2021
VCF
Valencia
3 - 0
Alavés
ALA
64%
20%
16%
2663 1929 734 +9
21 Aug. 2021
GRA
Granada
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
39%
28%
33%
2665 2258 -407 -2
13 Aug. 2021
VCF
Valencia
1 - 0
Getafe
GET
58%
24%
18%
2657 2367 290 +8