Copa del Rey . Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Barcelona vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GIR
0 - 2
FCB
9%
17%
74%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
SEV
2 - 0
FCB
20%
23%
58%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FCB
3 - 1
LEG
93%
6%
1%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
FCB
3 - 0
LEV
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FCB
3 - 0
EIB
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SEV
5 - 0
LEV
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
SEV
2 - 0
FCB
20%
23%
58%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
SEV
0 - 1
ATH
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 0
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |