UEFA Super Cup . Final

Barcelona vs Sevilla analysis

Barcelona Sevilla
98 ELO 90
30.6% Tilt 26.8%
General ELO ranking 66º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
84.8%
Barcelona
10.2%
Draw
5%
Sevilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
Barcelona
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5%
Win probability
Sevilla
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona
-4%
-1%
Sevilla

ELO progression

Barcelona
Sevilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2015
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 0
Roma
ROM
90%
8%
2%
98 87 11 0
02 Aug. 2015
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
10%
17%
74%
98 88 10 0
29 Jul. 2015
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
16%
20%
63%
98 92 6 0
25 Jul. 2015
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 3
Manchester United
MUD
85%
11%
5%
98 90 8 0
22 Jul. 2015
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
LA Galaxy
GAL
92%
6%
2%
98 79 19 0

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2015
AEK
AEK Athens
1 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
11%
19%
70%
90 62 28 0
02 Aug. 2015
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
9%
18%
73%
90 66 24 0
31 Jul. 2015
WAT
Watford
0 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
15%
20%
66%
90 75 15 0
26 Jul. 2015
REI
Stade de Reims
1 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
13%
19%
68%
90 73 17 0
25 Jul. 2015
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
19%
22%
58%
90 82 8 0
X