Barcelona vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
FCB
5 - 0
RSO
70%
18%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAL
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FCB
3 - 0
OSA
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 0
FCB
19%
25%
56%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
DEP
3 - 3
FCB
30%
26%
43%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PAN
1 - 0
PAO
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAN
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
PAN
0 - 0
FCB
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PAN
1 - 0
AKR
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
KAL
2 - 4
PAN
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |