Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . Last 16
Global 2-3
Barcelona vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
FCB
2 - 0
PON
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
DEP
0 - 0
FCB
35%
29%
37%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 0
RMA
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 1
ELC
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
UDL
1 - 0
FCB
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1970 |
INT
3 - 2
SAM
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1969 |
INT
1 - 0
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
INT
0 - 0
VER
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
NAP
0 - 0
INT
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |