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La Liga. Matchday 33

Barcelona Granada
96 ELO 76
1% Tilt 8%
General ELO ranking 110º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
81%
Barcelona
12.6%
Draw
6.4%
Granada

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
Barcelona
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Win probability
Granada
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona
+5%
+1%
Granada

Points and table prediction

Barcelona
Their league position
Granada
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
39
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Madrid
69
81
31%
Atlético
67
80
29%
Barcelona
65
83
19%
Sevilla
64
74
74%
Real Betis
48
57
34%
R. Sociedad
47
60
25%
Villarreal
46
55
28%
Granada
39
50
13%
Athletic
38
49
14%
Levante
10º
38
46
11º
13%
Celta
11º
37
47
10º
13%
Osasuna
12º
37
41
14º
15%
Cádiz
13º
35
42
13º
17%
Valencia
14º
34
44
12º
13%
Getafe
15º
30
36
15º
18%
Real Valladolid
16º
28
35
16º
16%
Huesca
17º
27
33
17º
16%
Elche
18º
27
33
18º
19%
Alavés
19º
27
33
19º
19%
Eibar
20º
23
29
20º
41%
Expected probabilities
Barcelona
Granada
Champion
53% 0%
Champions League
47% 0%
Europa League
0% 11%
Europa Conference League
0% 11%
Mid-table
0% 77%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Barcelona
FCB
Granada
GRA
Cádiz
CAD
Valencia
VCF
Atlético
ATM
Huesca
HUE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2021
ATH
Athletic
0 - 4
Barcelona
FCB
25%
25%
50%
3670 2571 -1099 +14
10 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
47%
27%
26%
3673 3502 -171 -12
05 Apr. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
84%
11%
5%
3672 1978 1694 +1
21 Mar. 2021
RSO
R. Sociedad
1 - 6
Barcelona
FCB
28%
26%
46%
3661 2625 -1036 +12
15 Mar. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 1
Huesca
HUE
80%
11%
9%
3659 1551 2108 +1

Matches

Granada
Granada
1%
X%
2%
ELO GRA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
2 - 0
Granada
GRA
79%
14%
7%
2239 3329 1090 -2
11 Apr. 2021
VAD
Real Valladolid
1 - 2
Granada
GRA
42%
28%
31%
2222 1976 -246 +12
08 Apr. 2021
GRA
Granada
0 - 2
Man. Utd
MUD
30%
26%
44%
2230 3295 -1065 -6
03 Apr. 2021
GRA
Granada
0 - 3
Villarreal
VIL
39%
28%
33%
2245 2691 -446 -18
21 Mar. 2021
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Granada
GRA
60%
22%
17%
2253 2611 358 -8