Barcelona vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
FCB
4 - 0
GIM
94%
5%
1%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
EIB
0 - 1
FCB
9%
17%
74%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 2
CEL
81%
12%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
LEV
3 - 3
FCB
12%
18%
70%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
67%
19%
15%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 2
RAY
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 2
GIR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
GIR
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
GIR
3 - 0
ALM
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
GIR
19%
25%
57%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |