Barcelona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
SEV
1 - 0
FCB
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
FCB
1 - 0
SPO
82%
12%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
ATM
3 - 1
FCB
33%
24%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1995 |
FCB
3 - 1
SEV
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
FCB
1 - 1
RAC
82%
12%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
ESP
1 - 1
BET
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
OVI
1 - 2
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
ESP
5 - 1
LEG
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
ESP
3 - 1
RMA
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
RAY
1 - 0
ESP
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |