Barcelona vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
FCB
0 - 0
ATM
51%
27%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
UDL
2 - 1
FCB
42%
30%
29%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
FCB
2 - 0
REC
87%
10%
4%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
CAS
4 - 0
FCB
36%
30%
34%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
BUR
1 - 1
ESP
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
ATM
4 - 2
BUR
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BUR
2 - 3
RMA
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
UDL
4 - 1
BUR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
BUR
2 - 1
BET
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |