Barcelona vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
FCB
3 - 1
NAP
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 5
FCB
7%
17%
76%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
FCB
1 - 2
OSA
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
VAD
0 - 1
FCB
6%
16%
78%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BYM
4 - 1
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
BYM
1 - 0
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
LEV
2 - 4
BYM
11%
16%
74%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
WOL
0 - 4
BYM
5%
11%
84%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
BYM
3 - 1
SCF
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |