Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
VCF
2 - 3
FCB
15%
20%
65%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 2
GRA
83%
12%
6%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
FCB
27%
23%
50%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
FCB
5 - 2
GET
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 4
FCB
14%
19%
67%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ELC
0 - 1
ATM
11%
21%
68%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
HUE
70%
20%
10%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATM
5 - 0
EIB
62%
23%
16%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BET
1 - 1
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |