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La Liga. Matchday 35

Barcelona Atlético
96 ELO 92
1% Tilt -22%
General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62%
Barcelona
22.9%
Draw
15.1%
Atlético

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.1%
Win probability
Atlético
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona
+4%
-10%
Atlético

Points and table prediction

Barcelona
Their league position
Atlético
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético
67
83
35%
Real Madrid
66
82
29%
Barcelona
65
83
24%
Sevilla
61
74
73%
R. Sociedad
47
62
51%
Real Betis
47
60
29%
Villarreal
46
58
24%
Granada
39
50
15%
Levante
38
49
10º
12%
Celta
10º
37
48
11º
12%
Athletic
11º
37
49
12%
Cádiz
12º
35
44
13º
12%
Valencia
13º
34
46
12º
11%
Osasuna
14º
34
41
14º
14%
Getafe
15º
30
37
15º
17%
Huesca
16º
27
34
18º
16%
Real Valladolid
17º
27
35
16º
15%
Elche
18º
26
35
17º
15%
Alavés
19º
24
32
19º
21%
Eibar
20º
23
29
20º
31%
Expected probabilities
Barcelona
Atlético
Champion
48% 35%
Champions League
52% 65%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Atlético
ATM
Barcelona
FCB
Levante
LEV
R. Sociedad
RSO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
47%
27%
26%
3673 3502 -171 -12
05 Apr. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
84%
11%
5%
3672 1978 1694 +1
21 Mar. 2021
RSO
R. Sociedad
1 - 6
Barcelona
FCB
28%
26%
46%
3661 2625 -1036 +12
15 Mar. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
4 - 1
Huesca
HUE
80%
11%
9%
3659 1551 2108 +1
10 Mar. 2021
PSG
PSG
1 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
50%
26%
24%
3654 3692 38 +9

Matches

Atlético
Atlético
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2021
BET
Real Betis
1 - 1
Atlético
ATM
29%
26%
45%
3339 2457 -882 -6
04 Apr. 2021
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 0
Atlético
ATM
44%
27%
29%
3352 3051 -301 -13
21 Mar. 2021
ATM
Atlético
1 - 0
Alavés
ALA
82%
12%
6%
3350 1913 1437 +2
17 Mar. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Atlético
ATM
47%
27%
26%
3384 3249 -135 -31
13 Mar. 2021
GET
Getafe
0 - 0
Atlético
ATM
25%
25%
50%
3384 2286 -1098 -7