Copa del Rey . Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Barcelona vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCB
38%
26%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
FCB
2 - 1
ZAR
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
RMA
0 - 2
FCB
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
73%
16%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
LIV
1 - 1
FCB
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
VCF
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATM
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ATM
2 - 2
RSO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |