Barcelona vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
FCB
6%
15%
79%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 0
GRA
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 1
ESP
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 0
FCB
6%
15%
79%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
FCB
4 - 0
BET
92%
6%
2%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATH
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ATH
3 - 2
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ATH
2 - 2
UDL
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATH
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |