Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores 1ra Ronda. Final

Global 5-1

Barcelona SC vs Progreso analysis

Barcelona SC Progreso
78 ELO 71
1.2% Tilt -6.9%
383º General ELO ranking 338º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.6%
Barcelona SC
22.4%
Draw
20.1%
Progreso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.1%
Win probability
Progreso
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona SC
+14%
+20%
Progreso

ELO progression

Barcelona SC
Progreso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2020
PRO
Progreso
0 - 2
Barcelona SC
BSC
39%
26%
35%
77 72 5 0
19 Jan. 2020
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
Delfín
DEL
48%
25%
26%
77 76 1 0
28 Nov. 2019
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 0
Aucas
AUC
56%
23%
21%
77 73 4 0
23 Nov. 2019
AUC
Aucas
1 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
36%
27%
37%
78 72 6 -1
03 Nov. 2019
OLM
CD Olmedo
1 - 2
Barcelona SC
BSC
27%
27%
47%
78 68 10 0

Matches

Progreso
Progreso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2020
PRO
Progreso
0 - 2
Barcelona SC
BSC
39%
26%
35%
72 77 5 0
19 Jan. 2020
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
1 - 2
Progreso
PRO
40%
25%
36%
72 70 2 0
06 Dec. 2019
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 4
Progreso
PRO
44%
26%
31%
71 70 1 +1
27 Nov. 2019
PRO
Progreso
0 - 0
Peñarol
PEÑ
27%
26%
47%
71 81 10 0
21 Nov. 2019
PRO
Progreso
0 - 1
Cerro Largo
CEL
44%
27%
29%
72 74 2 -1
X