Copa Libertadores . 1/16
Global 5-4
Barcelona SC vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1990 |
BSC
1 - 0
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
OPE
1 - 1
BSC
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1990 |
STR
2 - 1
BSC
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
EME
3 - 1
BSC
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1990 |
BSC
2 - 1
OPE
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
OPE
1 - 1
BSC
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1990 |
EME
2 - 2
OPE
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1990 |
BSC
2 - 1
OPE
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1990 |
OPE
1 - 0
EME
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |