Barcelona SC vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DEL
1 - 0
BSC
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
BSC
1 - 1
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CUE
1 - 1
BSC
28%
29%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BSC
0 - 1
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 1
BSC
44%
28%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
UCE
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
ATT
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FAM
3 - 0
NAC
44%
29%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ATT
2 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CUE
1 - 1
NAC
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |