Primera A 1 Phase 1ra Fase round 17

Barcelona SC vs Aucas analysis

Barcelona SC Aucas
80 ELO 74
0.8% Tilt -14.5%
629º General ELO ranking 639º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.1%
Barcelona SC
22.6%
Draw
16.3%
Aucas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.3%
Win probability
Aucas
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona SC
+13%
+5%
Aucas

ELO progression

Barcelona SC
Aucas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2018
MAC
Macará
0 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
34%
29%
38%
80 74 6 0
28 May. 2018
EME
CS Emelec
2 - 2
Barcelona SC
BSC
45%
28%
28%
80 79 1 0
19 May. 2018
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 2
Guayaquil City
RIV
74%
18%
9%
81 66 15 -1
13 May. 2018
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
23%
28%
48%
80 69 11 +1
05 May. 2018
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
Liga de Quito
LIG
57%
24%
19%
81 78 3 -1

Matches

Aucas
Aucas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jun. 2018
AUC
Aucas
1 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
63%
22%
15%
74 67 7 0
31 May. 2018
AUC
Aucas
0 - 1
Universidad Católica
UCE
43%
25%
32%
75 75 0 -1
27 May. 2018
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
1 - 1
Aucas
AUC
35%
28%
37%
75 69 6 0
13 May. 2018
TEC
Técnico Universitario
0 - 1
Aucas
AUC
41%
27%
33%
74 69 5 +1
06 May. 2018
AUC
Aucas
2 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
32%
26%
43%
73 79 6 +1