Barcelona SC vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
BSC
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIG
39%
30%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 1
EME
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CUE
3 - 0
BSC
34%
29%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BSC
1 - 1
CUE
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
CUE
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 0
AUC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
MUS
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |