Barcelona EC vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
6 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
COL
40%
23%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
NAC
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAU
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
FLA
31%
26%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
SAO
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAU
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 3
ECN
23%
25%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |