Barça Atlètic vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAB
2 - 1
FCB
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 1
CCF
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
UDL
0 - 2
FCB
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 1
GIR
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 3
FCB
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
MUR
5 - 0
MIR
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
MUR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |